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Will any small modular reactors switch on this decade?

TinySet prompt
Every small modular reactor project worldwide, with developer, country, capacity and status
tinyfish-will-any-small-modular-reactors-switch-on-this-decade.csv72 rows
Project nameDeveloperCountryCapacity (MWe)StatusProject page
Atucha ACR-300 SMR proposalMeitner Energy / INVAPArgentina300Proposed
Belledune Green Energy Hub ARC-100Belledune Port Authority / ARC Clean Technology CanadaCanada200Proposedhttps://www.portbelledune.ca/green-energy-hub/what-is-the-green-energy-hub
Darlington New Nuclear Project, BWRX-300 Unit 1Ontario Power Generation (OPG)Canada300Under constructionhttps://www.opg.com/projects-services/projects/nuclear/smr/darlington-smr/
Moltex Stable Salt Reactor at Point LepreauMoltex Energy / NB PowerCanada100Planned (pre-licensing)https://www.moltexenergy.com/our-first-reactor/
Point Lepreau ARC-100NB Power / ARC Clean Technology CanadaCanada100Licensing (site preparation licence application to CNSC)https://www.cnsc-ccsn.gc.ca/eng/reactors/new-reactor-power-plant-projects/new-reactor-power-plant-facilities/nbpower/
SaskPower SMR projectSaskPowerCanada300Planned (site selection)https://www.cnsc-ccsn.gc.ca/eng/reactors/new-reactor-power-plant-projects/new-reactor-power-plant-facilities/saskpower-smr-project/
Saskatchewan Research Council eVinci microreactorSaskatchewan Research Council / WestinghouseCanada5Planned (pre-licensing)
HTR-PM Shidaowan demonstrationChina Huaneng / Tsinghua University / CNNCChina210Operatinghttps://www.inet.tsinghua.edu.cn/ineten/info/1024/1698.htm
Showing 8 of 72 rows

Then TinyResearch on the dataset:

TinyResearch prompt
Will any small modular reactors actually switch on this decade? Which ones are closest and why?
tinyfish-will-any-small-modular-reactors-switch-on-this-decade.pdf

Yes, a small number of SMRs will almost certainly come online before 2031, and the first credible candidates are already under physical construction. The realistic count for grid-connected commercial SMRs before 2031 is two to three units globally, with TerraPower's Natrium a possible addition in 2031. The front-runners are China's Linglong One (ACP100, now in commissioning and expected in 2027), Canada's Darlington BWRX-300 (targeting end-2030 grid connection, with a basemat already installed), and TerraPower's Natrium at Kemmerer (targeting ~2031, construction underway). Russia's land-based RITM-200N at Ust-Kuyga carries a 2028 official target but faces significant remote-logistics risk. Every other project discussed in this briefing—TVA Clinch River, Kairos Hermes 2, Rolls-Royce SMR at Wylfa, Argentina's CAREM-25—will not produce commercial power this decade, though some represent genuine near-term milestones. The fundamental barriers—first-of-a-kind costs, HALEU fuel supply constraints, supply chain immaturity, and the need for sequential licensing steps—mean that the 2020s will end with proof-of-concept rather than scale, but proof-of-concept is itself a decisive strategic inflection point.

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